Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 2.081262 2.380063 2.708085 3.095151 3.539745 4.034841 4.628570
2025-07-20 1.609944 2.009268 2.488450 3.106939 3.885846 4.836577 6.088760
2025-07-27 1.389747 1.841149 2.416846 3.207240 4.268092 5.648244 7.589203
2025-08-03 1.200247 1.668816 2.296665 3.203116 4.484737 6.241659 8.849683
2025-08-10 1.050262 1.522203 2.182035 3.176964 4.648582 6.759817 10.045126
2025-08-17 0.923745 1.389030 2.064565 3.123343 4.753729 7.189892 11.144820
2025-08-24 0.848928 1.320539 2.029498 3.181125 5.021912 7.878465 12.702612
2025-08-31 0.783702 1.257762 1.993643 3.229219 5.273720 8.559868 14.317524
2025-09-07 0.713603 1.178699 1.922357 3.209784 5.409474 9.062312 15.685490
2025-09-14 0.645606 1.095332 1.834516 3.151280 5.469578 9.438918 16.871417
2025-09-21 0.591455 1.029283 1.768004 3.120210 5.569952 9.888664 18.228497
2025-09-28 0.540924 0.964204 1.696274 3.071254 5.630737 10.269915 19.495531
2025-10-05 0.527361 0.967168 1.750507 3.267562 6.184318 11.649301 22.906050
2025-10-12 0.486959 0.917830 1.707249 3.281908 6.405463 12.448755 25.328737
2025-10-19 0.463246 0.896606 1.712678 3.387979 6.813939 13.653420 28.725748
2025-10-26 0.428692 0.850473 1.665317 3.383619 6.999078 14.432140 31.335200
2025-11-02 0.395361 0.803014 1.610002 3.355941 7.131089 15.114204 33.824284
2025-11-09 0.362637 0.753224 1.544598 3.299192 7.193257 15.653048 36.063102
2025-11-16 0.344549 0.731875 1.535120 3.360344 7.518750 16.801682 39.862225
2025-11-23 0.327056 0.709891 1.521853 3.411245 7.826498 17.946018 43.809589
2025-11-30 0.305087 0.675853 1.479085 3.390676 7.966600 18.720165 46.957779
2025-12-07 0.281908 0.636763 1.421244 3.328758 8.001261 19.248288 49.558683
2025-12-14 0.262996 0.605480 1.377809 3.295876 8.101957 19.947356 52.700125